Weather Service Warns Severe Storms, Flooding Possible for Louisiana Tonight

(KMDL-FM) We are about to get a taste of "cold turkey" compliments of Mother Nature. A strong frontal system is pushing across the Great Plains this morning, and forecasters at the National Weather Service believe this system could spawn strong to severe thunderstorms and produce flooding rains across portions of Louisiana this afternoon, evening, and into Tuesday.

That's the Storm Prediction Center forecast graphic for where they believe the strongest of today and tonight's storms will be. As you can see, the area of concern for Louisiana runs from the extreme southwestern corner of our state to the extreme southwestern corner of Mississippi.

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The SPC has placed the severe risk for the area along and just north of I-10 as "marginal". The "slight" risk of severe storms grows the further north you go. Cities such as Alexandria and Leesville are under a slight risk of severe storms, while Lake Charles, Oberlin, and Oakdale are under the "marginal" risk.

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What Is The Severe Weather Risk Along I-10?

For cities such as Lafayette, Baton Rouge, and New Orleans, there is a risk of strong showers and storms later tonight and Tuesday, but as of now, the threat doesn't appear to be as significant in the southeastern corner of the state. However, that could change as Tuesday's forecast holds a much bigger chance of rain for that part of Louisiana.

Speaking of rain, the graphic you see above comes from the Weather Prediction Center, and that is their model guidance for potential excessive rainfall events over the next day or so. As you can see, the focus is more along the I-20 corridor in Louisiana when compared to the I-10 corridor.

The bulk of the inclement weather will move through Louisiana during the day on Tuesday. Behind the storm system, temperatures will drop quickly. By Wednesday afternoon, the high temperatures will struggle to reach the upper 60s. And the forecast for Thanksgiving Day calls for even cooler conditions as daytime temperatures will remain in the lower 60s.

Will Louisiana Have Freezing Temperatures on Thanksgiving Day?

We do not anticipate any freezing temperatures with this frontal passage. In fact, the long-range outlook for the next two weeks doesn't show any overnight temperatures in the 30s except Thanksgiving morning. It won't be hot, but it also won't be cold. We will have to settle for comfortable, I guess.