Tropics Sept 20
National Hurricane Center

An area of disturbed weather that passed over the Yucatan Peninsula this week and into the Bay of Campeche appears to have lost its punch. The system once given a 80% probability of becoming a tropical cyclone has now weakened considerably.The National Hurricane Center now puts the probability of that area of disturbed weather becoming a tropical cyclone at only 30%.

This system could still play a major role in devastating flooding for portions of Mexico over the next few days. The tropical forecast models are still in disagreement over the exact path the system will take. However conditions favorable for tropical development are no longer conducive for strengthening in that part of the Gulf of Mexico.

Acadiana's weather could be influenced by moisture generated from this system next week. This weekend our weather will be wet for Friday and Saturday as an approaching frontal system will interact with abundant Gulf moisture.The current radar scan from the Lake Charles office of the National Weather Service shows where the rain is now.

Dave Baker at KATC has rain chances very high through Saturday night. Rain chances will decrease on Sunday. Sunday will also usher in a bit of cooler weather for the area. Cooler being a relative term since the high on Sunday will only be in the upper 80's as opposed to the Mid 90's. It will be the first day of Fall after all.

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