Texas Hurricane Impact Probabilities in 2025 – County-by-County Breakdown

(KPEL-FM)Can you believe football season for the Texas Longhorns and the Texas A&M Aggies has been over for more than two months? Okay, much longer for the Aggies, and I don't think the pro team in Dallas ever started the season, did they?

And since football ended in Texas portions of the Upper Texas Coast have had to dig out from a historical snowstorm. We have celebrated Mardi Gras, and in San Antonio, they are getting ready for March Madness basketball.

And now with Easter just a few days away naturally the mindset of Texas residents will swiftly move through Good Friday crawfish boils, Easter Sunday services, Mother's Day, Graduation, and then it will be time for Hurricane Season 2025.

As the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is less than 60 days away now, it is time to begin thinking of what needs to be done ahead of this year's storm season. Naturally, we all want to know what the tropical forecasters are thinking before the season starts.

A general consensus of hurricane forecasts that have been released in this preseason phase of forecasting suggests that 2025 will be an active season. Most forecast outlets are using the words "above normal'.

The Tropical Meteorology Project team from Colorado State University, a very well-respected forecast outlet, has released their preseason look at the 2025 Hurricane Season. Here's what they see in their crystal ball.

CSU predicts 17 named storms. Nine of those 17 named storms will strengthen to hurricane status. Four of those storms will likely become Major Hurricanes, in other words reaching Category 3 status or stronger.

The good news, according to CSU is that this season doesn't appear to be as active as last season was. Sea surface temperatures are down compared to last year too. But as you read on, remember this is a long-range preseason forecast so the opportunity for error is quite large compared to what we are used to seeing with tropical forecasts.

While it's impressive to forecast and guess how many big storms might form the reality of hurricane season is this, it only takes one storm to mess things up. And as our friends in the Carolinas are still finding out, the impacts of these big storms can be felt far beyond the coast.

The Colorado State University Tropical Team has put together a table of hurricane landfall probabilities for 2025. The table covers the entire U.S. Coastline. We've broken it down for you on a county-by-county scale.