For more than two centuries The Old Farmer's Almanac has been making predictions about the weather. For 232 years, The Old Farmer's Almanac has made these predictions, and with an 80 success rate.

Their predictions for the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane season were a little off of that mark. Last year, their predictions were 70% on target.

This year has been very interesting. This week, we are dealing with Hurricane Francine, and even if it dissipates, we will still have to deal with heavy rainfall and winds.

Hurricane Photo
Photo courtesy of Brian-Mcgowan-kKyxIwvljBg-unsplash
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How Do They Make Their Predictions?

According to a formula created in 1792, they base their predictions on a variety of factors.

They look at solar patterns, historical weather data, tidal patterns, and even sunspot activity. No one knows the exact formula as it has been kept secret.

Their predictions for this year have been on target so far.

Hurricane Beryl Lashes Over Jamaica
Photo courtesy of Joe Raedle/Getty Images
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What Did They Predict for July 2024?

The editors of The Old Farmer's Almanac were right that there would be hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico in the early part of July.

Hurricane Beryl formed in June but then impacted Texas on July 8 leaving 3 million people without power and damaging homes and businesses.

The storm made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane.

In addition to this storm, Tropical Storm Chris formed in June, but ended up making landfall in Veracruz, Mexico, but then it quickly dissipated.

What Did The Old Farmer's Almanac Predict for August 2024?

The almanac predicted that there would be hurricane or tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico in the later portion of August.

It was in this month that Hurriance Debbey formed, and it made its landfall in Florida.

Even though the storm ended up weakening just four hours after making landfall in Florida, it was the cause of four deaths.

Hurricane Ernesto was the next named hurricane. While no one on the Gulf Coast had to deal with this storm it ended up hitting Bermuda and Puerto Rico.

Tropical Storm Activity
NOAA
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What Did the Alamanac Predict for September of 2024?

As we are into the month of September, our state will be dealing with Tropical Storm Francine. Where this storm will officially make landfall we will not know until Wednesday.

Most forecasters predict that the tropical storm will turn into a hurricane.

So far, several of the predictions made by the Old Farmer's Almanac have been on target. Let's all hope for this storm to dissolve and that the remainder of the season stays quiet.

LOOK: The most expensive weather and climate disasters in recent decades

Stacker ranked the most expensive climate disasters by the billions since 1980 by the total cost of all damages, adjusted for inflation, based on 2021 data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The list starts with Hurricane Sally, which caused $7.3 billion in damages in 2020, and ends with a devastating 2005 hurricane that caused $170 billion in damage and killed at least 1,833 people. Keep reading to discover the 50 of the most expensive climate disasters in recent decades in the U.S.

Gallery Credit: KATELYN LEBOFF

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