When Will it Cool Off in Louisiana? Here’s What the National Weather Service is Saying

(KMDL-FM) It is no wonder Mother Nature always rains on our parade or sends a storm during our football games; we don't respect her nearly enough. Think about it: all we do is complain about our weather- it's too hot, too humid, too hot and humid, or there is a hurricane in my backyard. It's no wonder good ol "Ma Nature" whips up bad weather just to spite us.

lightning in lafayette louisiana

For most of us, the current weather complaint has to do with heat and humidity. Everyone in Louisiana is itching to bring out their gumbo pots on a cool, crisp fall afternoon, and we collectively would like to know when that will happen.

Historically, When Do Temperatures Get Cool in Louisiana For the Fall?

Based on history, we are jumping the gun to think that we'd be needing a jacket before the peak of hurricane season. By the way, that peak is September 10th, also known as Thursday. So, with the better part of three months left in the tropical season, it stands to reason that a "big chill" won't be arriving in the next week or so.

andreusK, TSM Media Center

But historical evidence does suggest some relief before the end of September. However, the recorded history of weather in Louisiana says a more likely scenario is "no gumbo weather" until the middle of October. That is what history tells us.

Here is what the current long-range forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center suggest for Louisiana for September, October, and November.

Will It Be Wet This Fall Across Louisiana?

Here is the precipitation outlook for the next few months.

cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Based on that graphic from the Climate Prediction Center, our rainfall amounts should be close to normal for the next three months. Does anyone know what the normal amount of rainfall for Louisiana is in September, October, and November? I didn't think so.

Here's what we found to answer that question: in September, average rainfall is 4.5 to 5.5 inches; in October, it's 3.5 to 4.8 inches; and in November, the averages work out to be 3.8 to 4.4 inches. But you didn't come here to find out when it would rain, did you?

When Will Cooler Temperatures Arrive in Louisiana?

Here is the temperature outlook for Louisiana for the next three months.

cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

This looks suspiciously like it's never going to cool off in Louisiana or anywhere in the Gulf South, for that matter. Okay, above-average temperatures- let's look at the averages so we know whether or not this is serious or just data manipulation designed to make us go out and buy another air conditioner.

Cool is Relative - What Are the Average Fall Temperatures in Louisiana?

The average high temperature in September is about 88 degrees; the average morning low works out to be about 71 degrees. In October, the average high drops to about 80 degrees, with average low temperatures about 61 degrees. In November, your average high temperature is about 71 degrees, with overnight lows averaging about 50 degrees.

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Again, the long-range temperature forecast suggests temperatures a little bit warmer than normal, but I still think that by September 30th you will have at least one occasion to wear your tall boots and put on a cute sweater. But those occasions for Uggs and fur-lined fashions probably won't become the norm until the middle of October.

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If we are putting this in football terms, expect to wear a jacket when Mississippi State comes to Baton Rouge on October 17th for the LSU Homecoming weekend. But I still think we'll be wearing shorts and sweating a lot when UL's Homecoming happens on October 3rd. The Cajuns will host Arkansas State on that day.

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Now, if you're looking for something to refresh yourself while you wait for "fall temperatures" to arrive, you might choose one of these drinks. You won't have to worry about designating a driver either.